In the days immediately following the 2020 election, President Donald Trump should have known that he was not going to win.
I mean that in a literal sense: Trump should have understood that the pattern of vote-counting in enough states showed that he would fall behind Joe Biden’s totals and never catch up. In fact, he was told this by one of his campaign’s data experts, as his aide Jason Miller told the House select committee investigating the Capitol riot. Trump should have known that this wasn’t weird or conspiratorial since there was plenty of reporting on the way in which vote-counting would unfold. He should have been aware that his polarizing presidency would inspire as many people to vote for Biden as it did to vote for him.
All of that was sitting out there for objective observers to consider. Trump wanted to win and hoped he’d win and then he didn’t. The truth of the matter was that he lost.
But it’s not clear if Trump recognized that truth. He’s given little indication that he did, insisting without pause since November 2020 that the election was stolen from him. Even when that data expert explained that he had no path to victory, Miller claims, Trump objected, arguing that he was “looking at purely from what those numbers were showing as opposed to broader things to include legality and election integrity.”
There was the truth of the matter ... and then there was Trump’s way of considering that truth. The numbers said he wouldn’t win, but what about the court...
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