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Saturday, May 2, 2026

Anonymous Russian FSB Letters Reveal Internal Turmoil in the ... - Government Accountability Project

In the agent’s second letter to Oschekin, there is more anxiety about the war and the Kremlin’s strategy. People in the special services who work on field operations are no longer allowed to return to ordinary life, with the agent detailing, “They will no longer be able to jump out into ordinary life – the system does not provide such a turn. ‘There’ we can be dangerous,” meaning there is internal concern that these operatives would leave their position and reveal the Kremlin’s weaknesses to the world, which would be used against Russia. When creating various simulations for occurrences that would happen in the war, the Russian intelligence analysts found several failures in plans proposed by the Kremlin. When presenting the failed ideas to leadership, they stated the model, and the intelligence analysts were “too defeatist” and said the failures cast shadows in the leadership.

At the time of the letter, the war had been going on for eight days. In the letter, the agent says, “I can confirm right away that the situation is out of control,” since all forces were told to “ensure the stability of all processes for 3-5 days.” The military was given a timeline to successfully stabilize its position and control, yet “These 3-5 days have passed. It got worse, only the approach does not change.” With the failure of the timeline expectations, the Kremlin and Russian military have “flown from anti-crisis management into crisis management. To be honest, we just went into disaster...



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