Shutdown 2025 Update. Today is day seventeen of the 2025 federal government shutdown, and there is no clear political path to reopening. To date, the U.S. Senate has tried—unsuccessfully, ten times—to adopt a continuing resolution to reopen the federal government at current funding levels. Senators John Fetterman (D-PA), Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV), and Angus King (I-ME) continue to vote “yea” on the resolution, while Senator Rand Paul (R-KY) continues to vote “nay.” Republicans are hoping to convince five more Democrats to vote with them. Potential developments that could impact negotiations are as follows:

• Earlier this week, the recently renamed U.S. Department of War reallocated money from other programs to ensure that active-duty military personnel received their paychecks on October 15, 2025, temporarily muting a potential catalyst for negotiations. Looking ahead, October 31, 2025, is the next scheduled payday for the military, and early reports indicate that the War Department might not be able to find the money to make that happen.
• The U.S Department of Agriculture has reportedly notified state agencies that Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) funds may run out in November. This could be another critical factor in bringing both sides to the negotiating table.
• As the shutdown drags on, federal employees who have been furloughed or laid off could also become more vocal, putting more pressure on senators to strike a deal. In the meantime, this week, a...

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