The claim: A decrease in active military votes in Wisconsin shows election tampering
Some social media users are continuing to spread baseless assertions about election fraud in the 2022 midterm elections.
"Wisconsin has found that active military votes decreased from 9,876 in 2020 to 1,573 in 2022. Weird. Why were there so many in 2020?" reads a Nov. 29 Facebook post (direct link, archived link). "BTW, these ballots are the only votes in WI that do not require ID to be cast. In 2018, the last midterm, there were 4,966."
"Hmmmmm nothing to see here folks," says the post's caption. "Only STUPID believe there was no election tampering."
The claim echoed a press release issued by Wisconsin state Rep. Janel Brandtjen, who has often promoted false claims about the 2020 election.Other posts with similar claims have generated thousands of likes on Instagram.
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But the claim is ridiculous and based on a deeply flawed attempt to analyze election data.
The figures in the post compare data from a 2022 midterm primary to a 2020 general presidential election and a 2018 midterm general election.
Comparing the figures is nonsense since there are drastic turnout differences between the elections, according to a Wisconsin election expert.
The opposite of this claim is actually true, as active military participation increased in Wisconsin between the two comparable elections – the 2018 midterm...
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