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Monday, October 19, 2026

US Is Still Two Years Away From Max Employment, Fed Paper Says - Bloomberg Law

Two key U.S. labor-market metrics may take until 2024 to recover to their pre-pandemic growth trend, keeping maximum employment out of reach for now, a new study from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco showed.

A high level of retirements is reducing both the labor-force participation rate -- the share of Americans that are either working or looking for work -- and the employment-to-population ratio, which measures the number of people employed against the total working-age population. They’re unlikely to return to pre-pandemic highs, the paper said.

“Both series are well below trend, suggesting that the labor market ...

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