“You can’t make this stuff up. Eight of the top ten murder states, in terms of the increase in murder rates, are all red states.”
— Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-Calif.), in an interview on the “No Lie with Brian Tyler Cohen” podcast, April 9
Newsom made these remarks in the course of a broad discussion with Cohen that “red” states — those that voted for Donald Trump — do more poorly than “blue” states that supported President Biden in the 2020 election. He tweeted an excerpt from the interview — which has been viewed more than 3 million times — with a line with a little less nuance: “8 of the top 10 murder states are red.”
Newsom’s point is that states that supported Biden have a good story to tell and should go on the offense against Republicans who decry rising crime rates. “How are we losing these debates?” he said. “We got to go on the offense.”
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According to Newsom spokesman Nathan Click, Newsom’s statistics are derived from reports released in 2022 and this year by Third Way, a left-leaning policy group, about the “red state murder problem.” The first report, using annual crime statistics released by state governments, said eight of the 10 states with the highest murder rates in 2020 voted for Trump. The most recent report, relying on data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, concluded that “solidly red states have dominated the top 10 murder rate states for the past decade — some for each of the last 21 years.”
The CDC data shows that in 2019,...
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