After a weekend surrounded by Labour’s most passionate supporters, a new political poll has delivered Jacinda Ardern a stark reminder about her political reality.
A new poll from Newshub and Reid Research says that together National and ACT can form a government.
But Ardern remained buoyant after hearing the latest polling result. At the conclusion of the Labour Party annual conference in Manukau, she declared: “Bring it on.”
An election date is not yet set, but it’s expect to be about a year away.
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National sits on 40.7%, well ahead of Labour on 32.3% in the Newshub poll. Even with the Greens’ support, Labour is unable to form a government. The Greens polled at 9.5%, just below ACT’s 10%.
With ACT and National together, they command 50.7% – enough to form a government. They would have a combined 65 seats.
Unlike a poll released to Stuff last week, which was conducted just a few days before this Reid Research poll, NZ First has not polled highly enough to re-enter Parliament.
This latest poll had NZ First at just 3.3%, below the 5% threshold required.
The Newshub Reid Research poll had a margin of error of 3.1%. It was conducted between October 25 and November 3.
These results paint a somewhat different picture to a poll from Horizon Research conducted at the end of October.
Its results, shared...
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