Everyone likes a good conspiracy theory. I don’t mean that in a bad way — conspiracy theories can be true. However, true conspiracies possess certain qualities that make them extremely plausible even prior to confirmation.
On the other hand, theories like those following a whistleblower’s testimony about supposed alien spacecraft captured by the government are absolutely bogus. It is crucial to understand what tempts us into getting swept away by outlandish theories and how to recognize when one is engaged in unreasonable conspiratorial thinking.
The story of David Grusch, the UFO whistleblower, sticks out as a good contemporary case study on conspiracy theorizing. One man alleged a massive, decades-long coverup by the U.S. government to suppress recovered alien materials.
Congresspeople are taking it seriously, and we know the government has lied and covered up secrets before. So why am I so sure it’s a fabrication?
The answer lies in scale. If it turned out to be true, this conspiracy would be the biggest coverup in modern history. The story itself would be the biggest story in the history of humanity. It would necessitate tens of thousands of people, if not more, to have knowledge and possession of direct evidence and refuse to share it with the American people.
In addition, conspiracies are even harder to hide with modern technology. Just one errant photo taken by anyone with a phone and the whole house of cards would come crumbling down.
With these factors in mind,...
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