Russian forces are likely fabricating claims of a Ukrainian "counteroffensive" near the Dnipropetrovsk-Zaporizhzhia regional borders to cover up earlier false reports about their own advances in the area, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW). Ukraine's Southern Defense Forces denied any counteroffensive, saying the frontline remains at least 10-15 km from Ternuvate, which Russian forces tried to claim they had seized.
This comes as part of a broader pattern of Russia's false claims — from Kupiansk to Pokrovsk to Huliaipole — designed to project an image of inevitable Russian victory as fighting grinds on across southern and eastern Ukraine and US-brokered peace talks continue.
Milbloggers construct counteroffensive narrative
A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces are conducting a "counteroffensive" near Sosnivka and Novooleksandrivka (both southeast of Oleksandrivka) and Nechaivka (north of Huliaipole), according to ISW's 9 February report. The milblogger claimed Ukrainian forces took advantage of foggy weather and the recent block on Russian forces' Starlink terminals in Ukraine to push forward.
Another Kremlin-affiliated milblogger said Ukrainian troops had carried out a "local counteroffensive" in eastern Zaporizhzhia Oblast, something he described as the first such action in the area in a long time. Several other milbloggers echoed the counteroffensive claims, reporting Ukrainian armored counterattacks near a chain of settlements —...
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